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What Does Yen Carry Trade Means And What Kind Of Impact It Could Have On Your Forex Trading Results?

Yen carry trade is a way of foreign exchange carry trade involving the Japanese yen. Carry trade is an investment strategy in which the trader borrows (buys) a currency with a low interest rate and lends (sells) a currency with a high interest rate. Applying this method they may earn profits on the disparity between the interest rates.

This kind of trading is widespread among banks, central banks and hedge funds, particularly at times when the the worldwide foreign exchange markets are relatively solid and the international equity markets are overall bullish. In other words, it can be a successful investment strategy at times of world economic stability and growth.

The Japanese yen is the currency most commonly taking part in carry trade. This is because over the past years it has continuously been a key currency with the lowest interest rate. The Bank of Japan, which manages Japanese interest rates, has established them at a a particularly low level since the late 1980s. Generally this is under 0.5%.

Actually you would not count on carry trade to be lucrative as the currency rates would adjust to reflect the discrepancy in interest rates and this would equalize the potential profits. Still, in practice there is a profit opportunity as carry trades have the impact of depreciating the borrowed currency. So yen carry trade maintains the yen artificially low.

Obviously there is a risk that the trend will turn but due to the level of control exerted by the Bank of Japan, international confidence is typically quite buoyant. On the contrary, in the case of a significant financial crisis in the USA and the other main economic powers the yield of carry trade is bound to fall.

Certainly where there is a substantial change in foreign exchange rates such that the yen soars in value against the lent currencies, it is likely for the investors to lose money when it comes to reversing the investment. Since there is a massive amount of capital involved in yen carry trade it can have a powerful destabilizing impact on the forex markets if market participants abruptly put aside this form of investment.

This outcome is known as the unwinding of yen carry trade. It occurs when investors become averse to risk which would probably happen when the yen is moving up against the lent currencies. This could have a powerful influence on the rates of yen forex pairs. As we saw, yen carry trade weakens the yen so the effect of the unwinding will be to strengthen the yen side of the pair even further.

Yen carry trade is for the large players in the international financial markets. It is not something that an individual currency trader would typically expect to get engaged in directly. Still, any currency trader invested in a yen pair needs to be aware of yen carry trade and its impact on yen prices. Forex signals could be a valuable trading tool to foretell, when the price turns for yen crosses. There are a lot of forex signal services covering yen crosses online. Still, make sure that you trade only reliable forex signals!

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